A balmy weekend at Newmarket was a perfect backdrop for Guineas weekend and the racing lived up to the billing. We saw a potential triple crown candidate born in 2,000 Guineas winner Saxon Warrior, as well as a good old-fashioned skinner in Billesdon Brook winning the 1,000 Guineas at 66/1.
This Tuesday’s offering isn’t a bad way to come back down to earth after that, and it’s to the seaside at Brighton we’re electing to look to primarily.
Silvestre De Sousa is as good they come round here and he makes the trip south for three rides here this afternoon. It’s his mount in the 16:05 there this afternoon that we’re interested in as a betting proposition.
American History makes the first start of his four-year-old campaign off the back of a six-month break for William Muir. This son of High Chaparral had the best day of his career at three at this course, winning a handicap over 1m1f off an effective mark of 67.
He returns today off a mark of 70 and that seems a reasonable figure and should he have matured between three and four, the step up in trip to 1m4f could eek out a few pounds improvement. If it can, he won’t be far away here with the masterful De Sousa aboard.
Odds of 15/2 appeal but with a seven-runner field, the each-way option doesn’t shape up so well. We will, instead, take a one-point win-only position and hope he can beat his six rivals straight up this afternoon.
