Plymouth Argyle and Bolton Wanderers take time away from their hectic League One season this weekend for a trip to Wembley and a shot at glory in the Papa John’s Trophy final.
Sunday’s clash has all the ingredients to be a cracker and there’s certainly some value to be found when it comes to the betting. We’ve delved into the Betfred markets and looked at the stats to find some tips worth considering.
Bolton Wanderers - Extra-Time: 11/1
Bolton Wanderers - Penalties: 9/1
Plymouth Argyle - Extra-Time: 12/1
Plymouth Argyle - Penalties: 9/1
League One table-toppers Plymouth have been scintillating this season and considering they’re competing with some big teams and even bigger budgets, it makes their promising promotion campaign all the more impressive. In the league, the Pilgrims have only suffered defeat six times and have won 24, more than anyone else in the third-tier. They’ve won four of their last five, scoring twice in each.
Fifth-placed Bolton are also fighting for promotion, however they’re 16 points behind Plymouth and 15 behind second-placed Sheffield Wednesday, so a place in the automatic spots seems more than unlikely. The Trotters have had an admirable season themselves but are in the middle of a rocky patch in terms of form and have failed to win any of their last four, scoring just twice in that time.
Head-to-head Plymouth have emerged victorious in four of the last five against Bolton, with the sides drawing 0-0 in their last meeting in January.
One of Plymouth’s greatest strengths this term is the fact they’ve got goals in them across the pitch, scoring in 32 of their 38 games so far. Ryan Hardie currently leads the way for the club on 13, while Morgan Whittaker and Niall Ennis have both notched nine apiece. Birmingham City loanee Sam Cosgrove has impressed in Devon, scoring eight, but has been recovering from a calf injury and isn’t guaranteed to get time in the capital this weekend.
In Dion Charles, Bolton possess one of the best attacking talents in League One. The Northern Ireland international is currently the joint fifth-highest scorer in the division with 15 goals to his name, but the 27-year-old is currently on a bit of a dry patch having scored just once in Bolton’s last seven.
Don’t expect too many goals at Wembley. Only one of the last five contests between these sides has gone over 2.5 goals, while only two of Bolton’s last seven and two of Plymouth’s last five have seen the same outcome.
None of the last five meetings between Plymouth and Bolton have seen both teams score, while there have only been goals at both ends in one of the Pilgrim’s last five. Both teams have scored in only three of Bolton’s last ten.
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