We analyse Wilder v Fury live from LA And Tell You What To Bet On!

We analyse Wilder v Fury live from LA And Tell You What To Bet On!
10:19, 29 Nov 2018

Deontay Wilder defends his WBC heavyweight championship against Tyson Fury in Los Angeles this Saturday, in a classic puncher versus boxer match-up.

If you're undecided which unbeaten giant to back on Betfred, this is the Wilder-Fury preview to read before you stake your bet.

There are two schools of thought heading into this clash of styles: either Tyson Fury uses his superior skill-set to box and move to a points win, or Deontay Wilder overwhelms his opponent with raw power and athleticism.

Betfred's Bout Result Market currently favours Wilder at 4/7, while Tyson Fury is an underdog at 6/4. The draw seems unlikely at 20/1.

The big question marks over Fury's fitness and timing are key factors in the bookie's leaning towards Wilder.

Since returning from a two and half year lay off, Fury's shed ten stone and beaten two men he wouldn't hire as sparring partners - not traditional preparation for taking on the baddest puncher on the planet. 

His father, big John Fury, also dropped a huge hint that Tyson's physical condition isn't up to scratch at the elite level.  In a recent interview with IFLTV, he said:

“The only way you’re gonna get fighting fit is to fight. He’s had two comeback fights against mediocre opposition and he’s lost the ten stone.

“It’s a concern at this point for me because he’s up against a formidable champion who does punch hard.

“I believe if he’d had a few more fights it would have been 80/20 in Tyson’s favour, but now it’s a 50/50. It’s anybody’s fight.”

What Wilder lacks in skill he makes up for in world-class power, athleticism, intensity and brute strength - the kind of attributes you don't want to be up against if you're not physically on point.

The American is often criticised for crude technique, particularly the wreckless windmilling and slapping, but you cannot argue with results.

The "Bronze Bomber" has a 98% KO record. Most of these stoppages were cold-blooded demolition jobs from a man who's power is described as "legendary".

Betfred's Method of Victory Market has a Wilder knockout at 10/5.

If you're convinced Fury walks onto to an American bomb and want to punt on a round, here's a couple scenarios to consider:

Wilder isn't going to want to enter a chess match with Fury - the master tactician.  He's not going to want to let the ring rusty Brit find his rhythm and flow.

BetFred's Round Betting market is currently offering 4/1 for a Wilder victory between rounds 4-6 - while Wilder's speed is at its maximum.

On the other side of the coin, Wilder's stopped five of his last seven opponents in round eight or over.

If Fury's tank empties, he'll be more open to getting caught.

The man from Alabama carries formidable power into the championship rounds; he's live and dangerous from the first bell to the last - another reason he's the most feared puncher in the game.

Betfred's Round betting market is also offering a late Wilder victory at 8/1.

Another noteworthy aspect to Saturday's showdown is Fury's training team. Fury ended his successful partnership with Uncle Peter this year, admitting things in the gym had become 'stale'.

Enter 26-year-old Ben Davison.  After striking up a friendship with the young trainer, Fury hired him as head coach.

Over the last 18 months, Davison has brought Tyson's weight down slowly and safely. And helped his fighter to fall back in love with the sport.

But Sky Sports presenter Johnny Nelson expects Davison to struggle in the corner, he said:

"This fight is at far too higher level for this relatively inexperienced trainer.

'It would be like passing your driving test and saying, here you are son, here's a Porsche 911 for your first car.

"I'm not saying that you can't drive, what I am saying is that it's too much car for you.

"Can I trust you not to crash this car? Can I trust you to make the right decisions? Can I trust you to foresee whats happening?"

Attuned with Nelson's concerns, Tyson Fury made some statement additions to his team last week.

Come fight night, Fury will now benefit from the experience of Ricky "Hitman" Hatton, and arguably the best trainer in boxing, Freddie Roach. Hatton has been impressed with Fury behind closed doors and said:

"From I have seen of Tyson in the gym, he beats Wilder all day for me. The way he's performing in the gym is absolutely phenomenal."

Tyson Fury was written off before he dismantled Wladimir Klitschko on that special night for British sport in 2015

And despite his inactivity since that triumph, Fury still has skills to burn, the movement of a man half his size, and ring IQ that out-foxed an all time great.

If Fury's body copes with the American's athleticism and power, he could pick the WBC champ off from behind the jab.

Betfred are currently offering 6/5 for the fight to go the distance.

If the American is made to miss and made to pay - and even made to look silly - we could see Wilder's sloppy style unravel further in frustration.

We saw it against Luis Ortiz last time out. Wilder lost the opening rounds (although the judges were watching a different fight) and began loading up. He blew himself out looking for one big punch and almost paid the price of defeat. 

Tyson Fury has an astute boxing brain atop his freakishly broad shoulders. He has the ability to see what his opponents are setting up.  Will Wilder's amateurish style be found out by the master boxer?

Betfred's Method of Victory Market has Fury at 23/10 to win on points.

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