What Is The State Of Play In This Season’s Premier League Outright Betting?

As domestic football makes way for the international break, we take a look at the state of play in the Premier League
17:00, 20 Mar 2023

As domestic football makes way for the international break, it seems as good a time as any to take stock of the current Premier League landscape and go over Betfred’s outright betting markets heading into the home stretch. 

From outright winners to relegation candidates, this is the state of play in the Premier League. 

Outright Winner

Arsenal: 8/13

Man City: 5/4

Man Utd: 100/1

Newcastle: 500/1

Tottenham: 1000/1

Liverpool: 1000/1

The Gunners are hot favourites to clinch their first title in almost 20 years, but will be wary of the threat posed by closest rivals Man City as we get into the business end of the season. 

Pep Guardiola’s side currently trail league leaders Arsenal by eight points, but do have a game in hand to reduce that deficit. 

The Cityzens have 33 points to fight for in their bid for a seventh Premier League title but they’ll need a serious wobble from Arsenal who have looked imperious so far. There are several potential twists and turns up ahead though, none more so than the meeting between these sides towards the end of next month.

Arsenal perhaps have the tougher remaining fixtures on paper, but Man City still have a Champions League and FA Cup campaign to navigate which could pile some pressure on their already busy fixture list.

Arsenal’s remaining fixtures: Leeds United (H), Liverpool (A), West Ham United (A), Southampton (H), Manchester City (A), Chelsea (H), Newcastle United (A), Brighton & Hove Albion (H), Nottingham Forest (A), Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)

Manchester City’s remaining fixtures: Liverpool (H), Southampton (A), Leicester City (H), Brighton & Hove Albion (A), Arsenal (H), Fulham (A), West Ham United (H), Leeds United (H), Everton (A), Chelsea (H), Brentford (A)

Man City to win the Premier League - 5/4

Top Goalscorer

Erling Haaland: 1/25

Harry Kane: 10/1

Ivan Toney: 80/1

Marcus Rashford: 80/1

Mohamed Salah: 150/1

Darwin Nunez: 200/1

Aleksandar Mitrovic: 200/1

Son Heung-min: 250/1

This one looks as good as wrapped up. Erling Haaland has been simply phenomenal since his summer switch from Borussia Dortmund. The in-form forward has already bagged 42 goals in all competitions and 28 in the league. 

Haaland has seven more league goals than second-placed Harry Kane (21) and while that isn’t an insurmountable deficit to overcome, it seems incredibly unlikely barring a season-ending injury to the Norwegian. Ivan Toney and Marcus Rashford have both had stellar goal scoring seasons but with tallies of 16 and 14 respectively, they can safely be ruled out of the Golden Boot race this time around.


Southampton: 2/5

Bournemouth: 4/7

Nottm Forest: 11/10

Everton: 7/4

Leeds: 3/1

Leicester: 7/2

Wolves: 7/2

West Ham: 4/1

Crystal Palace: 5/1

Only four points separate Crystal Palace in 12th and current basement club Southampton as nine teams fight for top-flight survival. Saints and 19th-placed Bournemouth are both odds-on to drop to the Championship with Nottingham Forest, currently 16th, the next on the list at 11/10 after a winless run of six league games.

There could be some excellent value here with so many sides in danger of dropping into the bottom three over the next few weeks. West Ham have won just three of their last 15 league matches and the 4/1 on offer for them to be relegated is mighty tempting.

West Ham United to get relegated - 4/1

Top Four

Man Utd: 1/7

Newcastle: 6/5

Tottenham: 2/1

Liverpool: 2/1

Brighton: 9/2

Chelsea: 50/1

Brentford: 100/1

Fulham: 200/1

Aston Villa: 250/1

Third-placed Man United, barring a disaster, look guaranteed to be playing Champions League football next season. They’re only a point ahead of Spurs but, with two games in hand over Antonio Conte’s side, can give themselves plenty of breathing room. 

Away from the Red Devils, the race for a spot in the top four is delightfully tight. Spurs currently occupy the final spot but the weekend’s 3-3 draw with bottom of the league Southampton brought several problems to surface, not least the fact their manager is a desperately unhappy man in north London. 

Spurs have also played two games more than Newcastle United, who sit just a point behind them. The Magpies have gatecrashed the big six party this season and having got back to winning ways in their last two outings are beginning to find form at the right time. 

Liverpool have work to do but certainly aren’t out of the conversation. The Reds are currently five points off Newcastle and seven points behind Spurs, but have two games in hand over the latter.

Newcastle to finish in the top four - 6/5

Top Six

Newcastle: 1/6

Liverpool: 1/4

Tottenham: 1/4

Brighton: 4/5

Chelsea: 6/1

Brentford: 20/1

Aston Villa: 33/1

Fulham: 33/1

The aforementioned Newcastle, Liverpool and Spurs look good value to at least be playing Europa League football next season but they can’t afford to slip-up too much with Brighton & Hove Albion hot on their heels for a place in the top six. The Seagulls are level on points with current sixth-placed side Liverpool but hold a game in hand over the Merseyside outfit. 

On top of that, Roberto De Zerbi’s men also have a one game advantage over Newcastle and three over Spurs. Brighton’s excellent FA Cup run might be a blessing in disguise for their top six rivals.

Chelsea have had a woeful season so far under Graham Potter but the Blues have finally found some form, although a draw with relegation candidates Everton at the weekend showed they certainly aren’t out of the woods. They’re currently 10th, just four points behind the top six, but they have also played more games than Liverpool, Newcastle and Brighton.

Chelsea to finish in the top six - 6/1

*18+ | BeGambleAware | Odds Subject To Change

Suggested Searches:
The Sportsman
Manchester United
Manchester City
Premier League
Sportsman HQ
72-76 Cross St
Manchester M2 4JG
We will not ask you to provide any personal information when using The Sportsman website. You may see advertisement banners on the site, and if you choose to visit those websites, you will accept the terms and conditions and privacy policy applicable to those websites. The link below directs you to our Group Privacy Policy, and our Data Protection Officer can be contacted by email at: [email protected]

All original material is Copyright © 2019 by The Sportsman Communications Ltd.
Other material is copyright their respective owners.