Six Days To Go: The Cheltenham Festival Key Trends

The key trends to look out for ahead of the Festival, and what they mean for the runners and riders
16:00, 09 Mar 2022

Only six days left until the Cheltenham Festival begins. With final declarations being announced from today onwards, we will get a clearer picture as to how the races will shape up. For the likes of Galopin Des Champs, Sir Gerhard and Dusart Dynamo amongst many others, the targets remain unclear. However, with special thanks to Gault Stats and Juicestorm, we try and narrow down the vast fields across the four days, looking at a key trend in every race and how they align with the leading market protagonists.

DAY ONE

13:30 – Supreme Novices Hurdle

KEY TREND: 12/12 – Three or more hurdle runs

GOOD NEWS FOR: JONBON/KILCRUIT/MIGHTY POTTER

BAD NEWS FOR: CONSTITUTION HILL/DUSART DYNAMO/SIR GERHARD

14:10 – Arkle Chase

KEY TREND: 14/15 – Six or seven-years-old

GOOD NEWS FOR: BLUE LORD/COEUR SUBLIME/MAGIC DAZE

BAD NEWS FOR: EDWARDSTONE/RIVIERE D’ETEL/HAUT EN COULEURS

14:50 – Ultima Handicap Chase

KEY TREND: 0/15 – Irish-trained winner of the race

GOOD NEWS FOR: DOES HE KNOW/FANTASTIKAS/FRODON

BAD NEWS FOR: DEATH DUTY/FLOUEUR/THE SHUNTER

15:30 – Champion Hurdle

KEY TREND: NO Horse has ever won this without a season prep run

GOOD NEWS FOR: HONEYSUCKLE/TEAHUPOO/EPATANTE

BAD NEWS FOR: APPRECIATE IT

16:10 – Mares’ Hurdle

KEY TREND: 13/13 – Had an official rating of 140 or greater

GOOD NEWS FOR: TELMESOMETHINGGIRL/CONCERTISTA/ROYAL KAHALA

BAD NEWS FOR: QUEENS BROOK

4:50 – Boodles Handicap Hurdle

KEY TREND: 9/9 – Had won 1 or 2 hurdle races

GOOD NEWS FOR: THE TIDE TURNS/ICARE ALLEN/BRAZIL

BAD NEWS FOR: GAELIC WARRIOR/FIL DOR/PETIT TONNERRE

17:30 – National Hunt Chase

KEY TREND: 0/21 – Beaten favourite last time out

GOOD NEWS FOR: STATTLER/FAROUK D’ALENE/VANILLIER

BAD NEWS FOR: RUN WILD FRED

DAY TWO

13:30 – Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle

KEY TREND: 16/16 – Aged 5 or 6-year-old

GOOD NEWS FOR: DUSART DYNAMO/GINTO/JOURNEY WITH ME

BAD NEWS FOR: SIR GERHARD/KILCRUIT/THE NICE GUY

14:10 – Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase

KEY TREND: 0/21 – Kauto Star winners

GOOD NEWS FOR: GALOPIN DES CHAMP/AHOY SENOR/CAPODANNO

BAD NEWS FOR: BRAVEMANSGAME

14:50 – Coral Cup

KEY TREND: 15/17 – 32 day or longer layoff

GOOD NEWS FOR: STATE MAN/DROP THE ANCHOR/SAINT FELICIEN

BAD NEWS FOR: GOOD RISK AT ALL/THEDEVILSCOACHMAN/ASHDALE BOB

15:30 – Champion Chase

KEY TREND: Willie Mullins is yet to win the race

GOOD NEWS FOR: SHISHKIN/NUBE NEGRA/PUT THE KETTLE ON

BAD NEWS FOR: ENERGUMENE/CHACUN POUR SOI

16:10 – Cross Country Chase

KEY TREND: 14/17 – Had a previous run on the Cross-Country course

GOOD NEWS FOR: TIGER ROLL/EASYSLAND/MIDNIGHT MAESTRO

BAD NEWS FOR: DELTA WORK/PRENGARDE/SHADY OPERATOR

16:50 – Grand Annual

KEY TREND: 1/17 – Already won a Handicap chase during the season

GOOD NEWS FOR: BUDDY RICH/CIEL DE NEIGE/COEUR SUBLIME

BAD NEWS FOR: BRAVE SEASCA/AMARILLO SKY/THYME WHITE

17:30 – Champion Bumper

KEY TREND: 19/21 – Had their debut run in Ireland

GOOD NEWS FOR: FACILE VEGA/AMERICAN MIKE/REDEMPTION DAY

BAD NEWS FOR: OUR JESTER/MULLENBEG/POETIC MUSIC

Screenshot2022 03 09at122938jpg

DAY THREE

13:30 – Turners Novices’ Chase

KEY TREND: 10/11 – Three or more Chase runs

GOOD NEWS FOR: L’HOMME PRESSE

BAD NEWS FOR: BOB OLINGER/GALOPIN DES CHAMP/JUNGLE BOOGIE

14:10 – Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle

KEY TREND: 2/20 – Won a Pertemps qualifier

GOOD NEWS FOR: WINTER FOG/ALAPHILIPPE/DUNBOYNE

BAD NEWS FOR: SPORTING JOHN/THE BIG GALLOPER/ORBYS LEGEND

14:50 – Ryanair Chase

KEY TREND: 12/12 – Had an official rating of 161 or higher

GOOD NEWS FOR: ALLAHO/FAKIR D’OUDARIES/JANIDIL

BAD NEWS FOR: SHAN BLUE

15:30 – Stayers’ Hurdle

KEY TREND: 20/21 – Aged between 6 and 8-years-old

GOOD NEWS FOR: FLOORING PORTER/THYME HILL/KLASSICAL DREAM

BAD NEWS FOR: CHAMP/PAISLEY PARK

16:10 – Paddy Power Plate (Changed distance in 2015)

KEY TREND: 7/7 – Already had won a race that season

GOOD NEWS FOR: CELEBRE D’ALLEN/IMPERIAL ALCAZAR/THE GLANCING QUEEN

BAD NEWS FOR: THE SHUNTER/GRAND PARADIS/BEN DUNDEE

16:50 – Mares Novices’ Hurdle (Only 6 renewals of the race)

KEY TREND: 5/6 – Trained by Willie Mullins

GOOD NEWS FOR: BRANDY LOVE/DINOBLUE/GRANGEE

BAD NEWS FOR: PARTY CENTRAL/IMPERVIOUS/LOVE ENVOI

17:30 – Kim Muir Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Chase

KEY TREND: 2/19 – Won last time out

GOOD NEWS FOR: FRONTAL ASSAULT/AIN’T THAT A SHAME/FAKIR D’ALENE

BAD NEWS FOR: OMAR MARETTI/OSCAR ELITE/SCHOOL BOY HOURS

DAY FOUR

13:30 – Triumph Hurdle

KEY TREND: 17/18 – Raced on the flat over 1m4f or further

GOOD NEWS FOR: VAUBAN/PIED PIPER/FIL DOR

BAD NEWS FOR: KNIGHT SALUTE/PORTICELLO

14:10 – County Hurdle

KEY TREND: 15/16 – Had an official Rating between 129-139

GOOD NEWS FOR: TOP BANDIT

BAD NEWS FOR: STATE MAN/ECHOES IN RAIN/WEST CORK

14:50 – Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

KEY TREND: Gordon Elliott is yet to win the race

GOOD NEWS FOR: HILLCREST/MINELLA COCOONER/JOURNEY WITH ME

BAD NEWS FOR: MINELLA CROONER/GINTO/HOLLOW GAMES

15:30 – Cheltenham Gold Cup

KEY TREND: 18/19 – Raced in calendar year

GOOD NEWS FOR: MINELLA INDO/AL BOUM PHOTO/CONFLATED

BAD NEWS FOR: A PLUS TARD/GALVIN/PROTEKTORAT

16:10 – Hunters Chase

KEY TREND: 15/15 – Yet to win over 3m2f

GOOD NEWS FOR: BILLAWAY/WINGED LEADER/COUSIN PASCAL

BAD NEWS FOR: BOB AND CO/PONT AVEN/SHANTOU FLYER

16:50 – Mares’ Chase

NO KEY TREND: New race – Only had one previous renewal

17:30 – Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle

KEY TREND: 11/13 – Already ran in Graded hurdle

GOOD NEWS FOR: LANGER DAN/CHEMICAL ENERGY/HOLLOW GAMES

BAD NEWS FOR: STATE MAN/GOOD RISK AT ALL/I A CONNECT

Betfred Cheltenham Betting

*18+ | BeGambleAware | Odds Subject To Change

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