Premier League Betting Preview: Where’s The Value This Weekend?

We take a look at the Premier League's weekend fixtures to try and find the best betting value
08:00, 07 Apr 2023

The Premier League is beginning to reach the business end of the season and there’s plenty to look forward to over the next few days with a number of huge games at both ends of the table.

To get ready for what’s bound to be another riveting weekend in the top-flight, we’ve compiled some stats to help you find the best value in the betting this week. 

Manchester United vs Everton

When: Saturday, April 8

Where: Old Trafford 

TV: BT Sport 1/BT Sport Ultimate 

Kick Off: 12.30pm 

Betfred Match Odds: Man Utd 1/2, Everton 11/2, Draw 10/3

Man United have beaten Everton 38 times in the Premier League, the second highest number of wins against a single team in the competition. In fact, the Toffees have only won one of their last 29 top-flight visits to Old Trafford, with their last coming in 2013. Erik ten Hag’s United have already beaten Everton twice this season already, 2-1 in the league and 3-1 in the FA Cup. 

Everton have however scored in their last nine matches against Man United, the Red Devil’s longest on-going run against a single Premier League side without keeping a clean sheet.

Manchester United win and both teams to score - 11/5

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 

When: Saturday, April 8

Where: Villa Park

Kick Off: 3pm

Betfred Match Odds: Villa 8/13, Forest 4/1, Draw 3/1

Aston Villa are unbeaten in all but one of their last 14 meetings with Nottingham Forest (W6 D7), stretching back to a Championship contest in February 2017. Forest meanwhile are winless at Villa Park since 1994 and have failed to win away in their last nine Premier League games against sides from the Midlands.

Six of Villa’s last eight matches at home have seen both teams score, while both teams have scored in Forest’s last five in the league. 

Aston Villa and both teams to score - 5/2

Brentford vs Newcastle United 

When: Saturday, April 8

Where: Brentford Community Stadium 

Kick Off: 3pm 

Betfred Match Odds: Brentford 12/5, Newcastle 11/10, Draw 5/2

Brentford are yet to beat Newcastle in the Premier League after three encounters, and were handily beaten 5-1 in the reverse fixture at St James’ park earlier this season. The Bees are winless against the Magpies in seven contests, going all the way back to a 1-0 win in 1948, and have conceded at least twice in each of these. 

However, Brentford have only been beaten once at home this season and are unbeaten in their last ten on their own turf. 

For Newcastle, Callum Wilson has three goals in his last two, while Alexander Isak has four in four and should both be considered in the goalscorer markets. 

Alexander Isak to score anytime - EVS

Fulham vs West Ham United

When: Saturday, April 8

Where: Craven Cottage 

Kick Off: 3pm

Betfred Match Odds: Fulham 7/4, West Ham 13/8, Draw 9/4

Two sides in poor form meet at Craven Cottage on Saturday. Despite only losing two of their first ten Premier League games following the World Cup, the Cottagers have now lost their last three. 

West Ham on the other hand are winless in their last 11 league matches on their travels, losing eight. The Hammers have however won four of their last five PL ties against Fulham (D1). 

Fulham/West Ham, Draw - 9/4

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Chelsea 

When: Saturday, April 8

Where: Molineux 

Kick Off: 3pm 

Betfred Match Odds: Wolves 3/1, Chelsea 19/20, Draw 12/5

Wolves are winless in their last four meetings with Chelsea, however they have drawn three of those. 

Managerless Chelsea have really struggled for goals as was evident in their fourth 0-0 in a row with Liverpool earlier this week - the Blues have failed to score in their last two PL fixtures. They are also woeful away from home, with just one win from their last nine.

Double Chance: Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw - 5/6

Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove Albion

When: Saturday, April 8

Where: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium 

Kick Off: 3pm 

Betfred Match Odds: Spurs 2/5, Brighton 13/2, Draw 18/5

Brighton have been scintillating this season, particularly since the turn of the year, and have only lost once so far in 2023 in 15 matches across all competitions, winning ten. The Seagulls are also unbeaten in their last eight away from the Amex, winning five. 

While they’re unbeaten in four, it’s been far from smooth sailing for Spurs who parted ways with Antonio Conte earlier this week. The north London outfit have drawn their last two, conceding in the 90th minute or later in each. None of the last nine meetings between these sides has been a draw, with the away team winning the last three.

Brighton & Hove Albion win - 13/2

Leicester City vs AFC Bournemouth

When: Saturday, April 8

Where: King Power Stadium 

Kick Off: 3pm

Betfred Match Odds: Leicester 4/5, Bournemouth 16/5, Draw 11/4

After five matches, Leicester City are yet to lose to Bournemouth at the King Power. However, the Cherries have won their last two against the managerless Foxes, trailing at half-time in each, and are looking to complete the league double over them for the first time since 1988/89. Leicester have also lost their last three against promoted sides. 

Five of the last six encounters between these sides have seen goals at both ends and five of Leicester’s last six in all competitions have had the same outcome. 

Both teams to score - 8/11

Southampton vs Manchester City 

When: Saturday, April 8

Where: St Mary’s 

TV: Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports Premier League 

Kick Off: 5.30pm 

Betfred Match Odds: Southampton 11/1, Man City 2/9, Draw 5/1

It doesn’t look good for the Premier League’s bottom club going into Saturday’s late kick-off. Southampton have only won one of their last 13 fixtures against Man City, losing nine. The Saints have also only kept seven clean sheets in their last 43 league games at home, and just once this season. 

Man City have won their last four in the league, their longest winning run in the Premier League this season and have scored 17 goals in their last three in all competitions. 

Man City win and over 2.5 match goals - 11/10

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace

When: Sunday, April 9 

Where: Elland Road 

TV: Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports Premier League 

Kick-Off: 2pm 

Betfred Match Odds: Leeds 11/10, Palace 5/2, Draw 12/5

Crystal Palace are on the hunt for their first ever league double over Leeds in the top-flight, having beaten them 2-1 at Selhurst Park earlier this season. However, Leeds have won their last seven home contests against Palace in all competitions, a run that stretches back to 2006/07. 

There could be goals in this one as 43% of Leeds’ home games have seen both teams score in the first half, while there have been three or more goals in their last four in all competitions.

Over 2.5 match goals - 11/10

Liverpool vs Arsenal

When: Sunday, April 9 

Where: Anfield

TV: Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports Premier League 

Kick-Off: 4.30pm 

Betfred Match Odds: Liverpool 7/4, Arsenal 7/5, Draw 13/5

Liverpool are winless in their last four in all competitions, losing three, but have a good record when facing table-topping Arsenal at Anfield. The Reds have won their last six home matches against the Gunners in the Premier League, scoring at least three in each. 

Expect goals on Merseyside this weekend. Arsenal have only kept a clean sheet in 12 of 61 PL meetings with Liverpool, their lowest ratio in the competition. Incredibly, in the last eight league encounters between these two when Arsenal have been top, 33 goals have been produced at an average rate of over four goals per game. 

Over 3.5 match goals - 6/4

*18+ | BeGambleAware | Odds Subject To Change

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