Super Bowl LVII is almost here and the State Farm Stadium is gearing up to host the biggest American sporting event of the year. The Kansas City Chiefs are appearing in their third Super Bowl in four years while the Philadelphia Eagles last featured on this stage in 2018 when they beat the New England Patriots in a thrilling encounter.
But this year history will be made no matter who the victor is as Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts go head-to-head. This will be the first ever Super Bowl that features two black quarterbacks and the winner of that battle is likely to be crowned MVP, as well as lifting the Vince Lombardi Trophy on Sunday night.
But where is their money to be made? We’ve taken a look at Betfred’s Super Bowl LVII market to try and pluck out some value that could see you in profit on Monday morning. Here’s our best picks.
Moneyline - Kansas City Chiefs at 21/20
The simplest play in the book. Who will win the Super Bowl? This year we are backing the Kansas City Chiefs and their experience in these sorts of occasions to make things count. Patrick Mahomes has been here before and became Super Bowl champion and MVP back in 2019. The pain of the hammering they took at the hands of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2020 will still sting, but that sort of experience is so valuable on occasions like this.
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Jalen Hurts has been superb this season and Betfred make his Eagles marginal favourites at 5/6. Both teams had an impressive record of 16-3 in the regular season but the last meeting between these two came in October 2021, when the Chiefs ran out 42-30 winners while Mahomes’ men have also won four of their last five matchups against NFC East teams.
We are expecting a tight but thrilling encounter at Super Bowl LVII. Jalen Hurts ONLY needed to pass for 121 yards against the 49ers in the NFC Championship as the Eagles won 31-7 against the San Francisco 49ers, but he’ll have to do more on this occasion. Meanwhile the Chiefs scoring has been consistent across their recent performances.
They’ve scored 23, 27, 31, 27 and 24 in their last five matches, which makes the 54.5 point mark a tempting option given the Eagles have scored 30+ in their last two matches. It’s also worth considering that Kansas City have had a below par pass defense this season. They’ve allowed 33 passing touchdowns during the season and rank last in the NFL in the number of touchdown passes allowed. Expect a thriller in Arizona.
First Touchdown scorer - Travis Kelce at 13/2
Travis Kelce should pose a major problem for the Eagles. The Kansas tight end has had a receiving touchdown in four straight playoff games and a touchdown in eight of his last nine playoff games overall. He’s a scoring machine and Mahomes will have his sights set on picking him out if he can avoid the Philadelphia pass rush.
Picking the Chiefs to score first and win the match is also a sensible pick. In fact, the team that scores first is likely to win the match, given the Eagles have won 12 of 13 matches with Hurts at QB when they score the first touchdown and KC Chiefs are 12-0 when finding the end zone before their opponents. If Kelce makes it happen on Sunday, the Chiefs could be heading for glory.
Kelce is 5/6 to score a touchdown anytime which could be smart if you want to take out some insurance.
Big pick: Kansas City Chiefs to win by 1-9 points inclusive at 11/5
If you fancy pushing the odds a bit further, how about picking the Chiefs to win by 1-9 points inclusive. They are unlikely to blow the Eagles away, given how strong Hurts and co have been this term, so a narrow margin of victory - for either side - is expected. Given we are backing the Chiefs, the 11/5 on offer is worth exploring, while the Eagles are 2/1 to win by the same margin.
*18+ | BeGambleAware
